East Asia’s Carbon Neutrality Progress: How Far?
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By: Yoojung Kwon | Apr 18th, 2024
Introduction
East Asia, home to three of the world’s
major economies – China, Japan, and Republic of Korea (hereinafter Korea) – is
uniquely positioned to spearhead the global transition to carbon neutrality. In
2020, the international imperative for climate action has been showcased by the
three East Asian countries committing to carbon neutrality. Hence, redirecting
the future through a climate resilient future has embarked a new milestone in
the region.
Back in the 1960s, East Asia
demonstrated the fastest growth in economic development than any other region
in the world.[1] Specifically,
the Asian Tigers consisting of the four developed East Asian economies (Hong
Kong, Singapore, Korea, and Taiwan) have secured their long-sustained growth.
Whereas the three developed East Asian countries, China, Japan, and Korea has
been accounted to “represent one-quarter of the global GDP and one-third of the
global carbon emissions.”[2]
Moreover, according to the Global Carbon Atlas, the largest emitters in 2020
included China and Japan alongside the US, India, and Russia
Considering other dynamic shifts
including demographic transition and urban rural imbalance, this continues to
challenge the discussions of climate action to guarantee proper adaptation and
mitigation strategies. Especially urbanization in East Asia has shown the fastest
growth than elsewhere, exceeding the world average urbanization level.[3]
Consequently, rapid urbanization and industrialization has exposed the region
to high risk to the rising heat temperature, projected to grow as high as 2.6C
in 2050 and higher than 5.2C by 2090 across the region.[4]
This entails that the region’s commitment is crucial to ensure carbon
neutrality is aligned with the global agenda. Particularly, focused on densely
populated cities and urban environments to lower carbon emissions and to foster
resilience and positive impacts for the living standards.
Climate Commitment
Today, Japan, China, and Korea as
parties to the Paris Agreement, are at the forefront of technological
innovation for renewable energy, decarbonizing the economy for a safer and
cleaner transition.[5] Hence,
regional cooperation centered around the key players has come together to set
common agendas to safeguard environmental stability, economic growth, and human
development.
At the national level, China declared
to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060; increasing non-fossil fuels, developing
adaptation strategy to enhance resilience of the ecosystem and economy, and
actively engaging in international cooperation to phase out new coal-fired
power projects abroad.[6]
Japan declared carbon neutrality by
2050, through “energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy and
hydrogen”, domestically and internationally.[7]
In addition, has shown that Japan and Korea’s green growth strategy commonly
aims to foster the key energy sources of hydrogen and offshore wind power,
emerging as a promising field for cooperation. South Korea also declared carbon
neutrality by 2050, mobilizing green innovations and advanced digital
technologies aligned with Korea’s Green New Deal and the Digital New Deal launched
in 2020.[8]
In addition, Korea’s state-owned utility KEPCO had announced it will ‘scrap or
convert’ its two coal projects in the Philippines and South Africa.
However, according to the Climate
Action Tracker, an independent science-based assessment to track government
climate action, all three nations have been assessed as highly insufficient or
insufficient in terms of its policies and action, NDC target and climate
finance. This calls for regional cooperation to better position the countries
to meet their climate commitments through sharing best practices, knowledge,
and technological innovation.
Regional Cooperation
The three East Asian nations growing
ambition have been considered to have a snowball effect, catalyzing climate
action across the region. As accumulating climate action have foreseen efforts
to prioritize adaptation and mitigation measures in the neighboring countries
such as Viet Nam especially in the energy sector.[9]
Regional cooperation at the core of the
three economies in East Asia has favored committing to collaborative dialogues
on the key objectives of climate change. The Trilateral Cooperation Vision 2020
was initiated in 2010, adopted by the three leaders recognizing that climate
change is a top tier for cooperative agendas. Prior to this forum in 1999
Tripartite Environment Ministers Meeting had aim to tackle the common
environmental challenges. Subsequently, policy dialogues were consistently held
to discuss the issue on air pollution in 2014. This was the year China embarked
on an unprecedented new growth under its new administration to prosper in their
leadership against the impacts of climate change with a focus on air pollution.[10]
As the world sets an ambitious yet
timely agenda on carbon neutrality, this attracts unconventional possibilities
and opportunities across the region to collaborate on new cross-cutting
sectors. Following the First Forum on Carbon Neutrality Goals of China, Japan,
and Korea, it aimed to build a new platform of cooperation, further assisting
other countries to accelerate in their energy transition. Consecutive forums
have been hosted with the upcoming third forum in early March this year with a
key focus on digital innovation and just transition.[11]
The aim is to serve as a hub for knowledge exchange and further collaborate on
tangible interests inviting high-level government officials, experts, and
international organizations. As the stakes rise with prolonged climate action,
regional forums have reflected progressive ambition to act accompanied by
cooperation and collaboration.
Other means of regional cooperation has
been performed in various platforms from the ASEAN Strategy for Carbon
Neutrality, ADB-ADBI East Asia Forum 2023, 2023 East Asia Forum – Regional
Knowledge Sharing Initiative to path the way for a carbon neutral future
together. New and emerging dialogues are progressing where the first roundtable
of the Asian Climate Finance Dialogue has set stage in 2023 to discuss the
financing gaps that hinder progress on carbon neutrality.[12]
This calls for better accessibility to climate finance, especially across Asia.
However, there lies room for
improvement despite the milestones and achievements made. Collaborative systems
are called to be taken on a higher level such as with a state level agreement
focusing on practical goals and methods to reduce GHG emissions every five
years.[13]
Furthermore, standalone policies on climate change will not be sufficient, and
need to be reflected in trade and foreign investment policies to ensure all key
stakeholders are aligned with the country’s goal.[14]
Urbanization continues to be at the forefront of building resilience for
climate change hence urban decarbonization in smart cities will be key for the
three East Asian countries to reach their goals.[15]
As the three countries are the key
providers of international support in finance, technology, and best practices,
its joint mobilization enables them to maximize their synergies and complement
their capacities across Asia. Furthermore, to reach carbon neutrality calls “to
establish common standards, systems, and transparency” to enhance mutual trust
in associated projects to reduce emissions and enhance participants.[16]
Especially where study has shown emission trading system (ETS) to be effective
to significantly reduce overall carbon emissions per capita.[17]
Hence, regional cooperation should further identify the establishment to
monitor and model carbon assessment especially in highly populated regions, prominently
used in Korea and China.
Conclusion
Declaring carbon neutrality by 2050-60
in East Asia has embarked on a new era that commits to transitioning its
economic structure. However, pledges must be met with proper action where each
country is at stake to halt ongoing fossil fuel consumption and production,
boost their renewable energy sector, and ensure policies are embedded to smooth
their transition. This continues to highlight the importance and necessitates
collaborative dialogue to work together as the path towards carbon neutrality
is still fraught with unforeseen and unpredicted challenges.
Author’s
Bio:
Yoojung Kwon
is intern at CIPR for Spring 2024. She is a Master Student in International
Cooperation and Development, Graduate School of International Studies at Korea
University, Seoul, Korea. Her research interests include Climate, Sustainable
Development, Trilateral Cooperation, and U.S.-ROK Relations.
References
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